5/12/16

 

For the first night in a LONG time there are a TON of POSSIBLE aces on the mound tonight.  Lets start with the obvious: Kershaw.  Kershaw at home against a Mets team that strikes out at a fair clip is a great situation to be in.  Kershaw has amazing BVP in limited action against them, and Vegas has LAD as a huge favorite with a low Over/Under.  Problem is he is insanely expensive.  His price is so high I think he won’t be the highest owned pitcher tonight.  IF you can find enough hitting value, I think playing Kershaw is the way to go tonight, let everyone else get cute and fade him.  Double digit K’s, the Win, and 8 or 9 innings is quite possible if his stuff is on tonight.

Price or Dallas K?  My answer is BOTH……in separate lineups.  Keuchel’s price is WAY down, and if you ve watched him the past 2 seasons (NOT this season so far), you know that his stuff can be NASTY.  The Sox POUNDED the snot out of Oakland  last series, and Dallas has been not so hot so far, I think the vast majority will be scared to play him tonight.  Have some balls, that’s the only way to win a GPP.  Anchoring head to heads or 50/50’s with Keuchel or Price is a terrible idea, but in a GPP, it makes sense.  Houston strikes out so much, that Price has huge upside as well.  Either of these guys can win you huge $$, or ruin your night this evening. 

The only other guys I would consider tonight are Vince Velasquez against a PATHETIC Atlanta lineup (In a good pitchers park), Jimmy Nelson against a strike out prone Padres squad, or Greinke who looks like he is really coming back to form.  (GREAT SNEAKY GPP PLAY)

The Baltimore game could be an absolute SLUG FEST.  Miggy and V-mart will produce tonight, and the stack of the night will be Machado, Jones, Chris Davis, and Trumbo.  Don’t be surprised if 20% of the field has this exact 4 man combo.

 

I like Beltran and Morales in the NYY game

 

I would consider stacking the Phillies tonight against Blair.  One of these games their bats will start to heat up, why not tonight?

 

The Brewers could go HR crazy tonight against Shields.  I like Santana leading off, I’m pissed Villar is batting 9^th.   Scooter Gennett returns tonight, but I don’t like playing a guy his first game back in action.  Carter/ Braun/ Lucroy could all go long tonight.  I like Hill as a sneaky play on a night where I hate 2B more than any other.

 

I like Yasmany Tomas as a contrarian play against Cueto in Arizona tonight. 

The Cardinals stack will be highly used tonight.  It’s no secret that Weaver sucks, and the left handed St Louis bats could punish him.  This will be the ONE game I fade.   Gut feeling The Cardinals don’t score as much as everyone predicts.

 

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