6-22

You have to take advantage of crappy pitchers in hitter’s parks.   Erik Johnson and his 7.66 ERA fits that scenario rather nicely.  Erik Johnson stinks against Lefties, and stinks against righties.  LOAD up with Baltimore bats tonight!   They are all in play, if I had to fade one guy it would actually be Trumbo, he is streaky and has only 1 HR in his last 10 games. (That being said he will probably hit 3 bombs tonight, but you can’t play them all, and fading the coldest hitter makes sense.  I like Kim a lot tonight, he plays well at home and his price is still cheap enough to return serious value.

McCutchen is ICE COLD, he has been for a while.  His price is INSANELY low across the industry, and I can’t NOT play him tonight.  He has great career numbers against Samardzija, and if you can get a couple of hits and maybe a HR at his price tonight, it would be huge.  You have to be ON these guys the night the break out of the slump, not later when their price jumps back up.  GPP’s should absoultley have some McCutchen exposure this evening.

Eduardo Rodriguez has been TERRIBLE since returning this season for The Sox, he has been getting shelled.  Abreu and especially Frazier are really UNDER PRICED tonight, and we might see a back to back JACKS situation in Fenway.   On the other side, I actually like Quintana tonight.  He has really strong career numbers against The Sox, and the Boston bats have really cooled off as of late.  His ownership should be less than 10%, and he could put up really nice numbers at a discounted price.  The Sox are good against Lefties (really good actually), but Quintana still makes an intriguing GPP play tonight

You never know which Trevor Bauer shows up, but if the good one does, he has the most upside tonight.  Tampa Bay strikes out a ton against righties, but also hits a ton of HR’s.  This is a boom or bust play tonight, if Bauer can avoid the long ball and walks, he could hit 8 innings and double-digit K’s.  He is a nice GPP play, but the potential he implodes is enough to make me not play him in 50/50’s.  Archer is a mess, I love Lindor tonight, when he has a monster game, he is the type of player that can vault you into the top 5.

A Detroit stack is appealing against Iwakuma tonight as well.   I love Kinsler, he is expensive, but you should have enough $$ to slide him in a few lineups.  I’ll take the price reduction and Play V-Mart over Miggy tonight as well.  Fulmer might be a popular play tonight, but some storms may fly through Detroit at perfect times to ruin a SP’s night.  The weather plus the Seattle lineup is enough for me to fade Fulmer tonight.

Cole Hamels is overdue for a BIG game, he hasn’t really at one in Arlington yet, but I think tonight is the night.  Vegas has him as a huge favorite, he has great BVP against The Reds, and its time.  If you can scrounge enough value (which really isn’t too tough tonight, a Hamels PLUS Bauer combo has huge upside).  I like Desmond, and Choo against Straily and the dumpster fire Reds’ bullpen.

Speaking of Horseshit SP’s, how about Adam Morgan?  Oh yeah, that dude sucks!  Watch the weather, but a Dozier, Nunez, Suzuki Mini-stack could be a monster. 

Urias has gotten better each game so far, The Nats on the road don’t scare me.  I think Urias is the 3^rd best pitching option on the board tonight behind Bauer and Cole.   MY 100% I think I’M a psychic GPP play tonight is……………………………..Puig. 

 

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6/1/16

 

Let’s start June off with some HUGE WINS

Ortiz is expensive tonight, but is basically the chalk at 1^st base.   He is in Camden tonight against Mike Wright.  Lefties are hitting .354 against Wright this season and Ortiz has 2 home runs in only 5 AB’s vs Wright.  His price is so high that his ownership may be slightly down. 

 

Scherzer is a huge favorite on the board and Grinders has him finishing with the most DFS points tonight.  I personally will be fading him in GPP’s.  In 13 innings vs Philly this season, Scherzer has allowed 12 hits, 4 ER, 2 HRs, and 14 K’s.  These are good numbers, but not worthy of paying top dollar in my opinion.  He is safe, and head to heads or 50/50’s he’s your guy, but I don’t think he will be on the roster of the winning GPP’s tonight.

 

Me likey Shoemaker as a nice GPP play tonight with big K potential.   He has 23 strikeouts in the past two outings, and has career 0.46 ERA against Detroit in 3 starts.  The Tigers do strike out a lot, and if he can shut down Miggy and V mart, he could be looking at another 10K night, and at his price, that has a huge value.  Detroit’s bats can always catch fire, and Shoemaker could absolutely get shelled, but the potential is there if things go his way tonight

 

The Yankees stink, but the fear that McCann or Beltran take Sanchez deep tonight is enough for me to stay clear of this one.

 

I love Ozuna tonight against Niese in Miami.  I also would throw Stanton in if he plays (doubtful)

 

Lester has a pretty good matchup on paper, I just feel he is overdue for a shelling.

 

My other BALLSY GPP play tonight is actually Robbie Ray.  Houston strike outs almost 30% against Lefties, and Ray has pitched well OUTSIDE of Arizona this season.  Altuve and a red hot Springer really scare me, but if he can avoid damage from these guys, there are plenty of K’s to be found deeper in this lineup.  If you want Rockies galore, you need to get cute tonight……………….

 

Archer has been a mess this year, and has some pretty crappy BVP against MY Royals.  Alcides Escobar is all or nothing, but I will take a shot on him tonight leading off.  I’m also gonna ride The Cain/ Morales Train as well.  Tampa kills lefties, Duffy is not a smart play.

 

The Rockies put up 47 runs last night with 100 Home Runs, they get Lamb tonight.  GROSS.  I went with the lefties last night, I will swith it to the righties tonight.  DJ, Story, Arenado, Raburn, and Garneau  will be my stack.  Remember, The Reds bullpen is the worst in MLB, so ANY Colorado player is a GOOD play tonight.  They are gonna be HUGELY owned, but if they score another 15 PLUS, I’m gonna nut punch myself for fading this game.

 

I think King Felix is a very safe play tonight along with Scherzer.   Padres don’t scare anyone. 

 

A few Cheaper plays:  Bourn, Revere, Harrison, Buetera and some of the cheaper Arizona bats when lineup is announced.  (If you want to pivot off Ortiz, Goldschmidt is my go to guy tonight.  He’s heating up, and overdue for a multi-homer game)

 

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