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Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Lets go for 2 in a row................

In my 50/50s tonight I will be fading the Warriors.  They are a huge favorite, and I don't think they will need Curry, Draymond Green, and Klay to win this game.  They played last night, and it would be wise to use these 3 studs wisely in this situation.  I wouldn't be surprised to see their minutes in the mid 20's this evening which will probably limit their fantasy ceiling.  If you want any of these guys in your tourney plays, go for it, its a MINT matchup, but theirs too much risk to for me to pay big bucks for someone who wont get 30 PLUS minutes of action

Michael Carter Williams- $6,700
MCW has returned value his last 4 games in a row averaging 38.93 Fantasy points during that time frame.  Derrick Rose doesn't scare me on defense, and neither does Brooks if Rose sits (quite possible).  Butler, Mirotic, Taj/Portis, and even Gasol have played BETTER D lately (not great, but a step in the right direction).  The Bucks will have to score somehow, and I like MCW's chances finishing the night around 35 fantasy points.  He has really solid career numbers against The Bulls.

Jimmy Butler- $8000
Butler has been a MONSTER lately, he has averaged 47.8 points in the past 3 games.  He gets Kris Middleton tonight, and The Bucks are in the bottom rung in The NBA against opposing SG's.  If Rose sits, Butlers usage rate will go nuts.  Great matchup, he's on a tare, pencil him in for 40 and hope for 50.

Rudy Gay- $6800
Rondo looks like he won't play tonight.  Gay will shoot the ball a ton.  Chandler Parsons is no Defensive stud.  Gay could return big value tonight if his shot is on and can stay on the court for 32 PLUS minutes.  Greek Freak is the same price basically, but I don't trust The Bucks after playing last night.  They tend to do some weird things which can equal a huge nut kick to your fantasy night.  Gay is the SAFER of the two.

Paul Millsap- $8,100
I'm not going to overthink this one.  The Knicks have played Atlanta twice in the past 10 days, Millsap scored 47 and 49 points.  Cross your fingers, hope Atlanta doesn't smoke these guys, and be happy with 40 PLUS points.

Zaza P - $5,900
The Kings are beyond terrible on Defense.  Dallas SHOULD score at least 100 points tonight.  JJ, Wes, and Parsons are so streaky, I will take the consistency here.  Zaza has scored 35 Fantasy points the past 5 games (almost exactly, kind of weird).  The Kings stink, they played last night, Zaza is the safe play here, at 5900, 35 points is very nice in a 50/50.

Jose Calderon- $4,200
He's cheap, this is basically a punt play.  If he stays on the floor for over 25 mins, he gets 20-30 points, not spectacular by any stretch, but these are the plays you need to make the pieces fit.  This might be the only time this year I will suggest playing him (if he puts up 12 points tonight, he is dead to me.  This has happened before...............a lot)  He did score 32 points in limited action against Atlanta the day after Christmas

Bobby Portis- $4,500
I HATE putting non-starters in my 50/50's, but he is still underpriced.  I wish The Bulls would let him start at PF and see what he can do with 30 minutes of action.  The kid is the real deal, and fun to watch.  Milwaukee stinks against the PF, I'm hoping Portis gets 22-26 minutes tonight and racks up a double-double in that time.

Kent Bazemore- $5,800
Bazemore has seen minutes consistently in the high 20's- low 30's the past couple of weeks.  He is a better player than Thabo, and deserves the starting gig.  If he gets the minutes tonight, and Atlanta doesn't clobber these guys by 25, Bazemore should get somewhere around 30 points.

Good luck, watch the wire from 6:30-6:58 so you can completely change your lineup at the last minute because anything that can go wrong in DFS hoops, will.


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