6-22

You have to take advantage of crappy pitchers in hitter’s parks.   Erik Johnson and his 7.66 ERA fits that scenario rather nicely.  Erik Johnson stinks against Lefties, and stinks against righties.  LOAD up with Baltimore bats tonight!   They are all in play, if I had to fade one guy it would actually be Trumbo, he is streaky and has only 1 HR in his last 10 games. (That being said he will probably hit 3 bombs tonight, but you can’t play them all, and fading the coldest hitter makes sense.  I like Kim a lot tonight, he plays well at home and his price is still cheap enough to return serious value.

McCutchen is ICE COLD, he has been for a while.  His price is INSANELY low across the industry, and I can’t NOT play him tonight.  He has great career numbers against Samardzija, and if you can get a couple of hits and maybe a HR at his price tonight, it would be huge.  You have to be ON these guys the night the break out of the slump, not later when their price jumps back up.  GPP’s should absoultley have some McCutchen exposure this evening.

Eduardo Rodriguez has been TERRIBLE since returning this season for The Sox, he has been getting shelled.  Abreu and especially Frazier are really UNDER PRICED tonight, and we might see a back to back JACKS situation in Fenway.   On the other side, I actually like Quintana tonight.  He has really strong career numbers against The Sox, and the Boston bats have really cooled off as of late.  His ownership should be less than 10%, and he could put up really nice numbers at a discounted price.  The Sox are good against Lefties (really good actually), but Quintana still makes an intriguing GPP play tonight

You never know which Trevor Bauer shows up, but if the good one does, he has the most upside tonight.  Tampa Bay strikes out a ton against righties, but also hits a ton of HR’s.  This is a boom or bust play tonight, if Bauer can avoid the long ball and walks, he could hit 8 innings and double-digit K’s.  He is a nice GPP play, but the potential he implodes is enough to make me not play him in 50/50’s.  Archer is a mess, I love Lindor tonight, when he has a monster game, he is the type of player that can vault you into the top 5.

A Detroit stack is appealing against Iwakuma tonight as well.   I love Kinsler, he is expensive, but you should have enough $$ to slide him in a few lineups.  I’ll take the price reduction and Play V-Mart over Miggy tonight as well.  Fulmer might be a popular play tonight, but some storms may fly through Detroit at perfect times to ruin a SP’s night.  The weather plus the Seattle lineup is enough for me to fade Fulmer tonight.

Cole Hamels is overdue for a BIG game, he hasn’t really at one in Arlington yet, but I think tonight is the night.  Vegas has him as a huge favorite, he has great BVP against The Reds, and its time.  If you can scrounge enough value (which really isn’t too tough tonight, a Hamels PLUS Bauer combo has huge upside).  I like Desmond, and Choo against Straily and the dumpster fire Reds’ bullpen.

Speaking of Horseshit SP’s, how about Adam Morgan?  Oh yeah, that dude sucks!  Watch the weather, but a Dozier, Nunez, Suzuki Mini-stack could be a monster. 

Urias has gotten better each game so far, The Nats on the road don’t scare me.  I think Urias is the 3^rd best pitching option on the board tonight behind Bauer and Cole.   MY 100% I think I’M a psychic GPP play tonight is……………………………..Puig. 

 

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