Cleveland at Baltimore

43 PTS  Ravens – 6.5

At first glance, this looks like a SKIP IT game, but not this week.  I have to pick on The Cleveland Defense on the road here because they have been so piss poor.  The Browns give up OVER 400 yards per game!  Joe Haden might not play again this week and there should be no reason The Ravens can’t net close to 400 yards again against this squad.  It would be a lot easier if KC or Green Bay was playing them, but Baltimore is a bit harder to predict.  Justin Forsett is a complete crap shoot, he was God Awful the first 3 weeks, but looked brilliant last week.  Kamar Aiken looked good last week with Smith THE SENIOR out, but put up a goose egg in Week 3.  Joe Flacco is always hit or miss.  ONE of these three is going to have a GAME this week, pin pointing which one is the tough job.  Steve Smith Sr, has already been ruled OUT this week.  I think if you’re going to be safe, Flacco is the play, he will produce, but probably will finish just shy of the top 5 this week.   If you want upside and possible real value, Aiken is the choice.  If you’re ballsy and want to pay for possible 20 PLUS fantasy points from an RB, you have to cross your fingers and hope Forsett has a repeat performance of last week.  Just realize, that IF Forsett looks anything like he did in Weeks 1-3, you basically have no chance at finishing in the money.  That is a distinct possibility, but his upside could be huge, and I’m willing to GAMBLE on Forsett this week.  I will also play Aiken in a few spots as a potential lottery ticket.

Baltimore Defense is nothing fantastic either.  The only player I’d be willing to roll the dice on his Travis Benjamin.  Benjamin’s targets have been going up, and it’s not too tough the find the end zone against this Ravens Secondary.  Benjamin is still cheap, and is in a good position to get 8-10 targets because I think Cleveland will be playing from behind this week.  It wouldn’t shock me if Benjamin went 7 for 110 with a TD.  At his price, that’s a nice value.   The Browns TE Barnidge has looked pretty good in the past few games as well.  He might be a good cheap TE option who could find the end zone as well.