Chicago at Seattle

45 points  Seattle -15

Chicago Defense

Passing 187 YPG, 7 TDs

124 YPG, 2 TDs

I’ll save you the suspense, Bears Defense is a joke.  Seattle is 0-2, and this is a statement game for them.  Russell Wilson, Jimmy Graham, and Doug Baldwin could all have big games.  Lynch is a game time decision with a calf injury, and it wouldn’t shock me if they let him sit.  They don’t need him to win this game.  Wilson WILL throw TD’s, he is the safest play of the bunch, and one of my top 3 QB’s this week.    Baldwin has been known to disappear sometimes in his career, and that could kill your lineup.  Top Defensive play of the week is probably Seattle as well.    Using the perfect combo of Seattle, Arizona, and New England players this week might be the key to serious $$

I want no part of The Bears offense this week, including Forte. 

San Fran at Arizona

44.5  Arizona -6.5

49ers Defense:

Passing 273 YPG, 3 TDs

Rushing 77.5 YPG, 3 TDs

This game screams Carson Palmer to me.  49ers Defense made The Vikings look foolish in week 1, but then got OBLITERATED by The Steelers last week.  Antonio Brown had a MONSTER last week, and somebody on Arizona should do the same Sunday.   I have to go with the hot hand in this situation, and in my opinion, Palmers best weapon, Larry Fitzgerald.  Fitzy went MENTAL last week in Chicago with 115 yards and 3 TD’s.  IF you can find a way to put in Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, and Julian Edleman as your 3 Wr’s this week, I think you’re golden.  Palmer should throw for 350 with three or four Td’s, with two of them and over 100 of those yards to Larry Fitzgerald.  I’m not touching The Arizona running game.

Cardinals Defense:

Passing 273 YPG, 3 TD

Rushing 81.5 yards

Kaepernick isn’t a terrible play, he will have to throw if they go down quickly, and could have a nice game.  I have no problem playing him at his current price.  I also like Torrey Smith who is coming off a big game as his best WR option.  Carlos Hyde was banged up last week and came back down to earth, but I am a believer in this kid.  Arizona Run Defense is top 5 so far, but I will put his production in the Latavius Murray range, and can’t argue throwing him back in your lineup.  I also think his ownership % will be down. 

Atlanta at Dallas

44 Points, Atlanta -1.5

Atlanta Defense

Passing 313 YPG, 3 TD

Rushing 80 YPG, 2 TD

Atlanta has been BURNED by QB’s and WR’s this year and last year.  Brandon Weeden will start for Tony Romo, and he is so cheap, throwing him in your lineup is not a terrible Idea.  He won’t throw for 400 yards, but he could throw 2 or 3 TD’s on Sunday.  Terrence Williams will be a popular play, and he should produce, but Jason Witten is the play for me.  Witten should see a ton of targets, and find the end zone twice this week.  I think Witten offers the most bang for the buck at TE .  I’m staying away from Dallas RB’s because they aren’t good, and Atlanta’s Run D isn’t terrible.

Dallas Defense has looked AMAZING so far.  They SHUT DOWN Bradford last week , and shut down Beckham JR week 1.  I can’t recommend paying up for Julio Jones on Sunday.  The guy is a beast, but he is so expensive, I put him in Gronk territory.  Jones won’t be shut down, but I don’t see him having that 140 yard, 10 catch, 1 TD performance.  There are too many other WR’s in better positions in week 3.  Devonta Freeman looks ok, but Dallas has given up 53 YPG so far to RB’s. 

I like pairing Weeden and Witten for cheap money and STACKING the rest of your lineup with studs in GPP tournaments. 

Indy at Titans

47 Points, Indy -5

Indy D

Passing 219 YPG, 3 TD

Rushing 124 YPG, 2 TD

Titans Defense

Passing 169 YPG, 4 TD

Rushing 104 YPG, 1 TD

I’m going to skip it.  Mariota, looked good week 1, average week 2.  Sankey looked good week 1, less than average last week.  Wright looked good week 1, terrible last week. 

The Colts haven’t been able to figure it out yet this year.  They aren’t as bad as they have played, but I’m not ready to plug in anyone yet.  TY Hilton is probably more healthy, so he could take away Moncrief’s targets.  I’m not a believer in Frank Gore, and The titans Defense has looked ok.  There are too many question marks with both teams, the risk isn’t worth the reward this week, I can’t find any good plays on either team.  Next.

Oakland at Cleveland

41 Points,  Browns -4

Oakland Defense:

Passing 326 YPG, 4 TD’s

Rushing 118 YPG, 3 TD’s

Oakland is PROBABLY the worst Defense in the NFL.  They stink against the pass, and the rush.  On paper, Travis Benjamin is the player who is apt to have a game here.  He had a 89 yards and a TD last week, and will be widely owned.  I’m going to shy away from him.  The problem is he got that production on 3 catches, that doesn’t make him a safe play, or even a sure thing.  He will be widely owned, because he is cheap, he could have 4 catches for 40 yards when all is said and done.  Cleveland will score, but I don’t see it coming from Benjamin.  The guy I’m willing to roll the dice on this week is Isaiah Crowell.  He had a nice game last week and outplayed Duke Johnson.  I think Cleveland will run the ball a bunch, and if Crowell gets the bulk, he could be in for over 100 yards and a TD.  At his price, that is a great value play.  Crowell is my favorite play this week at the low end RB position

Cleveland Defense:

Passing 199 YPG, 4 TD’s

Rushing 166 YPG, 2 TD’s

I like Cleveland’s secondary, I can’t recommend Cooper this week.  Latavius Murray is solid, Cleveland is worse against the run than the pass.  Murray is a nice mid ranged option this week and should get plenty of carries.  He should find the end zone once, maybe twice, and hover around the 100 yard mark. 

 

Jaguars at Patriots

48 points  Pats-14

Pats Defense:

Passing 259 Yards, 4 Td’s

Rushing 147 yards, 3 Td’s

The Patriots Defense isn’t good.  Pats are currently bottom 5 in the NFL for total yards and touchdowns allowed. BUT, The Jags Offense is pretty piss poor as well.  The Jags might get destroyed by New England on Sunday, but they will score some points.  TJ Yeldon hasn’t shown much yet, but he does catch balls which is nice in a PPR format.  Problem is, if The Pats score often and quickly, which they tend to do at home, The Jags are going to have to throw the ball a ton.  Allen Robinson had 155 yards with 2 TD’s last week against Miami, and Bortles was just letting him make the plays.  Allen Hurns was the most productive WR in week 1 for Jax, but didn’t have a great numbers game last week.  I’m ok playing Yeldon this week because of his price, if the Jaguars, by some act of God, can keep it close, he should have a productive day.  He is not a SAFE play, but I don’t think he will be widely used for DFS purposes either, making him sneaky.  In regards to WR’s for The Jags, Allen Robinson could have a big game, it’s possible, he’s done it in the past, Pats D isn’t good, and Robinson is certainly the most TALENTED WR on the squad.  Allen Robinson is a lottery ticket, but he is the kind of play that could skyrocket you up the standings if he brings his A game.  I will probably mix, Yeldon and Robinson is a few of my Lineups this week.

Jags Defense:

Passing 251 YPG, 3 TD’s

Rushing 73.5 YPG, 0 TD

The obvious, is Brady at home.  Yes, he does it every week.  Play him if you want to spend big money at QB.  I’m going to pass on Gronk, Jags shut down Greg Olsen in week 1, and did a good job against Cameron last week.  I’m not saying Gronk wont have a big game, but he needs over 100 yards, 8 receptions, and 2 TD’s to justify his salary.  There are too many cheap Tight Ends I like this week.  Julian Edleman is the play here.  Edleman is the safest WR on the board this week.  He is always good for 9 receptions, close to 100 yards, and a TD, and I don’t see this week being any different.  Dion Lewis is still cheap enough to throw him in your lineup as well. 

On a side note, being from Boston, and watching The Pats for years, SOMETIMES the Pats play bad and are unprepared for crappy teams.  It seems like each year there is always 1 or 2 games the Pats put up a stinker in a situation that looks like a slam dunk.  Last Year, they almost lost to Oakland and Brady was GARBAGE.  I believe the spread and line was almost identical.  I am NOT going all in on The Pats this week.  IF the pats have THAT game on Sunday, and you roster NONE of them, your odds of finishing in the money GREATLY increase.  I’m not saying that’s going to happen here, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take with a few lineups.

Philly at Jets

47 points Philly -2

Eagles Defense:

Passing, 270 YPG, 3 TDs

Rushing 107 YPG, 0 TD

If you’re going to attack Philly, it’s no secret that their weakness is their secondary.  Julio Jones BURNED them for 9 catches for 141 yards and 2 TDs in week 1.  Last week they played a partial game against Romo, but still gave up numbers to Terrance Williams and Witten.  I don’t think Chris ivory will play (check back before kickoff) but I’m 80% sure he is a no go.  Powell would be in line for the bulk of the workload, but he might give up some carries to Zac Stacy.   Even if Ivory sits, Im not comfortable playing either Jets RB.  Eric Decker is also Questionable, but from everything I ve heard, don’t count on him playing either.  This is setting up for a Brandon Marshall bonanza.  Through two games, Marshall has 13 receptions, 163 yards, and 2 TD’s, he’s also been targeted 19 times WITH Decker out there.  If Decker is a no-go, Marshall should get 15 targets and a possible MONSTER day.  Brandon Marshall is the best WR option this week in the second tier.  He will be owned EVERYWHERE, but I’m not going to do the “Contrarian” play with him, he will be in almost all of my lineups.  Projection:  11 Receptions, 134 yards, 2 Td’s

Jets Defense:

Passing 233 YPG, 2 TDs

Rushing 98 YPG, 0 TD

Sam Bradford looked like GARBAGE last week in Dallas.  Jordan Matthews had a solid game, but didn’t break any records either.  This Jets defense is far superior to The Cowboys.  Every time I go against Vegas, I’m wrong, but I just don’t see Philly scoring 20 or more points.  How The Eagles are only a 2 point dog in this game, I don’t get it, maybe I’m wrong.  Jets Defense looked SUPERB against Indy last week, Philly is coming off a bad game, I’m not playing ANY Eagles this week in my lineups.  Again, Vegas says I’m wrong, but I have to go with my numbers on this one.  If you’re a betting man, I’d put some $$ on The Jets -2