Jaguars at Patriots

48 points  Pats-14

Pats Defense:

Passing 259 Yards, 4 Td’s

Rushing 147 yards, 3 Td’s

The Patriots Defense isn’t good.  Pats are currently bottom 5 in the NFL for total yards and touchdowns allowed. BUT, The Jags Offense is pretty piss poor as well.  The Jags might get destroyed by New England on Sunday, but they will score some points.  TJ Yeldon hasn’t shown much yet, but he does catch balls which is nice in a PPR format.  Problem is, if The Pats score often and quickly, which they tend to do at home, The Jags are going to have to throw the ball a ton.  Allen Robinson had 155 yards with 2 TD’s last week against Miami, and Bortles was just letting him make the plays.  Allen Hurns was the most productive WR in week 1 for Jax, but didn’t have a great numbers game last week.  I’m ok playing Yeldon this week because of his price, if the Jaguars, by some act of God, can keep it close, he should have a productive day.  He is not a SAFE play, but I don’t think he will be widely used for DFS purposes either, making him sneaky.  In regards to WR’s for The Jags, Allen Robinson could have a big game, it’s possible, he’s done it in the past, Pats D isn’t good, and Robinson is certainly the most TALENTED WR on the squad.  Allen Robinson is a lottery ticket, but he is the kind of play that could skyrocket you up the standings if he brings his A game.  I will probably mix, Yeldon and Robinson is a few of my Lineups this week.

Jags Defense:

Passing 251 YPG, 3 TD’s

Rushing 73.5 YPG, 0 TD

The obvious, is Brady at home.  Yes, he does it every week.  Play him if you want to spend big money at QB.  I’m going to pass on Gronk, Jags shut down Greg Olsen in week 1, and did a good job against Cameron last week.  I’m not saying Gronk wont have a big game, but he needs over 100 yards, 8 receptions, and 2 TD’s to justify his salary.  There are too many cheap Tight Ends I like this week.  Julian Edleman is the play here.  Edleman is the safest WR on the board this week.  He is always good for 9 receptions, close to 100 yards, and a TD, and I don’t see this week being any different.  Dion Lewis is still cheap enough to throw him in your lineup as well. 

On a side note, being from Boston, and watching The Pats for years, SOMETIMES the Pats play bad and are unprepared for crappy teams.  It seems like each year there is always 1 or 2 games the Pats put up a stinker in a situation that looks like a slam dunk.  Last Year, they almost lost to Oakland and Brady was GARBAGE.  I believe the spread and line was almost identical.  I am NOT going all in on The Pats this week.  IF the pats have THAT game on Sunday, and you roster NONE of them, your odds of finishing in the money GREATLY increase.  I’m not saying that’s going to happen here, but it’s a risk I’m willing to take with a few lineups.