2/10

 

It’s tough to find many good value PG picks tonight.  I think paying up for Lillard, Lowry, and Paul is the way to go.  Gun to my head, if I had to pick one lower priced guy, I would have to roll with Archie Goodwin.   Fact is, he is playing 39 minutes a game, and GSW is NOT good at stopping opposing PG’s.  The Warriors are playing back-to-back tonight, and with the All Star break starting tomorrow, Golden State might be careful with their starters (which they should).   It would be pretty silly for Curry to break his ankle the night before the break, in the 3rd quarter with a 22 point lead against the worst team in The NBA.  For this reason, I will be completely fading the entire Golden State team.  If the starters are all held to 24-26 mins, it’s nearly impossible for them to return value.  If you really want to gauge the size of your testicles, putting Donald Sloan in at PG could return big value, and with tiny ownership.  Conley has NOT been good on D the past two weeks, and if Sloan chips away to 25-30 points tonight, it could be huge.  Not a safe play, not even recommended, just an option in big GPP’s. 

 

Both Michael Carter Williams and Monroe POUNDED The Celts last night.  For that reason (plus others), I like the Chris Paul / DeAndre Jordan combo tonight.  I think these guys will combine for 90 fantasy points in a game that Vegas says will be close with an over/under at 105 +.  This may be Paul Pierce’s final game in Boston, I wouldn’t be surprised if they let him play 20-24 mins and he racks up 20 plus points, nice sneaky punt play

 

Since Gasol is out, I think Z-Bo is safe for 33 + minutes and a Double-Double PLUS

 

Illyasova is looking like he won’t play tonight, leaving the door open for Tolliver to get 30 mins .  He is minimum price basically, and 30 minutes against Denver is a PRETTY SAFE BET that he returns value.

 

New Orleans is AWFUL against BIGS.  Like, vomit inducing pathetic.  Either, Gobert or Favors is going to FEAST tonight on the boards.  I will roll with Rudy on this one due to his blocking ability as well as his rebounding skills.  Utah is on the second night of a back-to-back set, which might scare people away from playing  Favors/ Gobert.

 

Sneaky Stack of the night is Orlando.  Everyone shys away from teams against San Antonio, but their D has not been SPECTACULAR the last couple of weeks.  The Magic players are not outrageously priced, and if they score 100 points, I think they all can return value (depending on Harris’s status).   San Antonio played last night and NOBODY has any idea what Pop will do with his starters tonight. 

 

Pricing too SOFT on Fan Duel?

Pricing too HARD on Kings?

Play where the pricing is PERFECT at  www.draftdemons.com