Pittsburgh at San Diego

45.5 PTS San Diego -3

FAVORITE GAME OF THE WEEK.  It’s not often that my favorite game of the week happens to be the Monday Night game.  It adds a little excitement when you have a good lineup after the Sunday night game and still have 3 or 4 guys still going the next night.  I think this game goes OVER 45.5 and will produce some fantasy studs.  My favorite RB of the week and my top overall play is Lev Bell.  Bell looked GREAT against Baltimore last week and GREAT against St Louis the week before.  Lev Bell is the best FANTASY player in all of football.  San Diego SUCKS against the run.  Bell could get combined 175 yards and 2 TD’s Monday Night.  He will be used early at often.  Mike Vick is also one of my top VALUE PLAYS at QB this week.  He made some really nice passes last week, and is still a very capable and talented NFL QB.  He is incredibly cheap, and I’m calling for 2 passing TD’s and 1 running TD.  At his price, he could really return some serious value

I also like Rivers and Keenan Allen this week as well.  Steelers Secondary is weak, and Rivers has been a yardage monster recently, with the majority of those yards going to Allen.  I think it’s going to be a fast paced high scoring game and Rivers/Allen will be busy and productive for four quarters.  Don’t sleep on Ladarius Green either, Gates is back, but isn’t getting 12-15 targets right out of the gate.  Green is a talent and should see more action than Gates.  I think the Maclin, Wright, Allen WR combo could make you a very happy and successful DFS player this week.  Good luck.  Play in our FREE $1,000,000 Perfect Lineup contest, try our Rapid Fire that everyone raves about, and get up to a $600 deposit match at www.draftdemons.com.  We are growing quickly for a reason. 

San Fran at Giants

43 PTS Giants-7

If you’ve read my blog in the past, it’s no secret to you that I am not an Eli Manning guy.  He hasn’t looked spectacular the past two weeks from a fantasy stand point, even though he lead The Giants to back to back wins.  He only threw for 212 yards against The Bills last week, and completed a crappy 20/35.  He’s at home this week, and San Fran secondary has been pathetic.  BUT The Niners D held The packers to under 300 yards last week and Palmer threw it for 311 with 2 TD’s the week before.   The Arizona and Green Bay offense is better than The Giants, so I don’t think it’s a lock that The Giants net 500 yards this week.  Eli will produce, but just won’t be a top 5 QB in my opinion.  Beckham JR hasn’t looked ridiculous lately, and I can’t justify using him seeing that he is the second most expensive WR on the board.   Larry Donnell has been seeing a fair amount of targets, and makes for a great value play at TE.  Rashard Jennings was one play away from being an absolute ZERO last week like he has been all season, no thanks.

Kaepernick is bad, really, really bad.  I have no idea what is going on with him right now.  He has thrown 5 INT’s and a combined 220 yards the past two games.  This 49ers team is a disgusting mess right now.  Their offense is so shitty, I want nothing to do with Hyde until they can figure some stuff out.  BECAUSE their offense is so bad, THE GIANTS DEFENSE is my D of the week.  This isn’t sneaky or cute, 35% of the country or more will have The Giants as their Defense this week, me included. 

Denver at Oakland

43.5 PTS  Denver -4.5

Denver probably has the most impressive Defense in The NFL to date.  Since The Raiders decided to play like horseshit against a horseshit Chicago Defense last week and cost me a bunch of $$ and made me look like a complete dickhead, they are dead to me this week.   Up yours Latavius. 

Oakland Defense stinks, and the best options to score you some points will come from Thomas, Sanders, and Owen Daniels.  Manning still hasn’t shown me enough to anchor my DFS squad around him yet, so I won’t be taking him or putting Thomas AND Sanders in the same lineup.  Thomas looked really good last week, and I think he has a legit shot at being the best WR on the board for fantasy this week.  Sanders is Edelman in a different uniform, and is 100% solid, but won’t get you the 30 PLUS fantasy points you need to win a big one.  You have to shoot for the moon, and the reward could come from Thomas.  Because of Julio being a bit beat up, and OBJ kind of being hit or miss thus far, Thomas will be MY top WR of the week.  Barnidge and Bennett both had really good games against this Raiders D the past two weeks, and I think Owen Daniels will score a TD this week.  He is DIRT cheap, and even if he goes 4 receptions, for 35 yards and a TD, he will be a great value play. 

Pats at Dallas

49.5 PTS  Pats-9.5

This is the game that there will be huge ownership on, and I WILL be part of the crowd.   Dallas Defense is TERRIBLE.  Pats are coming off a bye week, and The Pats score 35 points EASY this week.  Nobody has stopped The Patriots this season, and this game should be no different.  Last week Spiller and Ingram combined for 230 yards against The Cowboys.  In week 3, Devonta Freeman almost got 200 yards against them.  This game is SCREAMING Dion Lewis to me.  Lewis is cheap, and has had some monster fantasy games this season.  Blount will steal some touches from Lewis for sure, but these short passes to the RB has destroyed this Dallas D in the past 2 games.  Take the extra points with the PPR, and put Dion Lewis in your lineup and hope Coach Bill doesn’t do something dickey.  If you want to start Blount, instead of Lewis, I can understand that as well, but at the end of the day, I think Lewis outscores Blount.  Brady is a great play, and will quite possibly be the top QB, and if you’re deciding between Brady and Rodgers, Brady is the play.  If you can save money enough to put Gronk in as your TE, do it.  Edelman, is as safe as they come in a PPR format.  Any of these guys could have a game.  Gun to my head, I will do the three man stack of Brady/Gronk/Lewis and hope The Pats score 40 Plus points on them. 

I said it last week, and I will say it again, Randle is NOT a good RB, I think it’s a mistake to play him.  Forsett, Hyde, Lewis, Gio, and even Doug Martin are cheaper than Randle and I think will outperform him.  Witten will probably catch 8 balls and maybe find the end zone, so I have no problem using him as a flex or TE.  Other than that, nope. 

Arizona at Detroit

45 PTS Arizona -3

Detroit does NOT have a good defense, they don’t even really have a good aspect of any part of their defense.  They give up 271 YPG through the air and 111 YPG on the ground.  Carson Palmer has looked great and so Larry Fitzgerald so there’s only one thing to do, FADE THIS GAME.  I will be probably the only person to tell you not to play Palmer.  I think everyone is going to be all over Palmer and Fitzgerald this week, and I won’t be one of them.  You always have to pick one game, do the contrary, and don’t play any of them and hope for a low scoring event, this is going to be that game for me this week.  The Lions D looked better last week, they have momentum, and Palmer tends to throw a few more INT’s in Domes, and doesn’t have great numbers against Detroit in his career.  I’m going to assume that Fitz/Palmer are going to be owned in 20% of the lineups, and I will sit back and hope that they both underperform.  I want nothing to do with The Arizona backfield regardless. 

The only person on The Lions that I would even consider to play would be Calvin Johnson, but until Matt Stafford can show me some improvement, I will pass on him.  Edelman, K Allen, and Maclin are cheaper and I think will all out produce Megatron this week.   Because I think palmer will throw some picks, I think The Lions Defense is a ballsy sneaky play and should have really low ownership. 

Buffalo at Titans

42 PTS Titans-1

I’m not going to invest too much time or energy on this game, low over/under, I don’t have much faith in either Offense, and no real STUDS in this game.  I don’t think Watkins plays, Shady McCoy is already ruled out, Karlos Williams is questionable.  Boobies Dixon might get the start, good luck with that.  I like Charles Clay, again, this week.  Titans aren’t good VS the TE, and Taylor needs to throw it somewhere, and Clay is his favorite target.  Clay is my FAVORITE TE this week, that doesn’t mean he outscores Gronk, it just means I think he scores more fantasy points per dollar than Gronk or Graham does.  

On the Titans side of things, I’m going to roll the dice on Kendall Wright this week.  Buffalo’s pass Defense isn’t great, they also aren’t as bad as most make them out to be, but Wright could be in for a monster!  2 out of 3 games this season Wright has had big games, and I still think he is hands down the most talented receiver on this team.  I like the fact that Jake targeted him 12 times last game, and Wright is so inexpensive, he will be a top play of week 5 for me.  I’m not touching the Titans running game. 

Rams at Packers

45.5 PTS  Green Bay – 9

Vegas says Green Bay scores 3 or 4 td’s in this game.  I have to pick on The Rams shitty Run D in this one.  Week 2 Matt Jones torched them for 123 and 2 TD’s.  Week 3 Lev Bell had 132 total yards and 1 TD,  Last week David Johnson and Chris Johnson combined for 175 yards against them.   I think this will be the first week I will pay up for Ed Lacy.  He seems to finally be 100% healthy, he’s home, I don’t think The Pack will have to throw too much to win this game.  This has second half clock management written all over it.  I’m projecting Lacy to get 2 TD’s and over 115 yards this week.  Rodgers is the most expensive QB on the board, and he needs to basically throw over 375 and 3 TDs to out preform his price, and I don’t see that happening.    Cobb is always a very safe bet to get enough points to make it worth your while, and the Cobb/ Rodgers combo is a nice way to anchor your head to head or 50/50 tournaments. 

I think everyone is going all in on Gurley this week.  I will take the “Wait and See” approach.  He looked awful the first half last week, and looked like Walter Payton circa Tecmo Bowl in the second half.  Gurley is awesome, but he has only played 2 NFL games, lets no go crazy here.  He isn’t averaging 7.7 yards per carry for the rest of the season.  HE is a great value because he is so inexpensive, I don’t blame anyone playing him, just don’t be upset we he doesn’t score 40 points this week.  The Rams should be behind the majority of this game, and will have to throw it 30 plus times.  Tavon Austin is always a great lottery ticket , but he’s just that, a lottery ticket.  Throw Austin in some GPP’s, but don’t touch him with a head to head or 50/50.